Andy Burnham is on track to become prime minister as soon as July 20, with only a Birmingham MP potentially standing in his way. The former Manchester mayor is the clear favourite to replace Sir Keir Starmer, and the Labour Party is preparing for a formal leadership handover.
Leadership Timeline and Key Dates
Burnham could take over as prime minister on July 20, the next working day after nominations close. To get on the ballot, candidates need the support of 81 Labour MPs and three affiliated organisations by July 16. If no other candidate steps forward, Burnham is expected to be formally declared Labour leader at a special conference on July 17.
The Only Challenger: Birmingham MP Al Carns
Former Royal Marine Al Carns, now the Labour MP for Selly Oak in Birmingham, is the only Labour MP still publicly considering a challenge. Despite scepticism from those who view his bid as driven by ego, Carns insists he is serious. However, it remains unclear whether he can secure the 81 MP nominations needed by the deadline.
Cabinet Speculation: Who Will Be Chancellor?
Burnham is already considering his cabinet picks. Rachel Reeves has reportedly conceded she will not remain as Chancellor. Contenders include Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband. An unlikely alliance of trade unionists and city traders has urged Burnham against appointing Miliband, citing his net zero policies as damaging. However, the transport union TSSA has endorsed Miliband.
TSSA general secretary Maryam Eslamdoust said: “The Labour movement needs an experienced hand as chancellor who is responsive to the needs of working people and who represents a clear break from the status quo. The next chancellor must be serious about growing the economy by investing properly in the infrastructure Britain needs to unlock sustainable growth. That growth must have tangible benefits for working people through better wages, secure jobs and rising living standards. We believe Ed Miliband has demonstrated that he understands the need for a different approach, one that is prepared to invest for the long term and deliver an economy that works for everyone. We think Ed Miliband should be the next occupant of Number 11.”
