Pound Faces Collapse Risk as Traders Bet Against Autumn Budget
Pound Collapse Warning Ahead of Autumn Budget

Financial experts are issuing urgent warnings to UK households about the potential for a Sterling collapse following Chancellor Rachel Reeves' Autumn Budget announcement on Wednesday.

Market Anxiety Reaches Critical Levels

Currency traders are actively betting against the Pound in anticipation of the Labour government's budget plans. Market positioning shows bearish sentiment at multi-year highs as investors brace for potential volatility.

Tony Redondo, Founder of Cosmos Currency Exchange, confirmed there is genuine anxiety in financial circles. Traders are paying record premiums for protection against Pound weakness, particularly through put options against the Dollar and Euro.

Echoes of Past Crises

The current market behaviour draws uncomfortable parallels with the September 2022 Truss-Kwarteng mini-Budget, which saw the Pound plunge over 6% against the Euro and 13% against the Dollar, reaching its lowest level since 1971.

Redondo warned that markets fear a Groundhog Day scenario, with the combination of potential tax hikes, spending increases, and a possible December Bank of England rate cut creating perfect conditions for Sterling pressure.

Expert Predictions and Warnings

Riz Malik, Director at R3 Wealth, stated that a significant Pound sell-off appears imminent. He emphasised that traders are already positioning themselves against Sterling and cautioned that the bond market will be watching closely.

The warning comes alongside expected downgrades to the Office for Budget Responsibility's growth forecasts every year until the current parliament ends in 2029, adding to the economic uncertainty.

Both experts stressed the importance of the Chancellor addressing market concerns directly to avoid a repeat of the 2022 financial turmoil that devastated household finances across the country.