The next UK heatwave is expected to arrive in July, following a record-breaking end to June that saw temperatures reach 38C. Thursday, June 25, marked the third hottest June day in a row, with speculation that Friday, June 26, could surpass it.
Record-Breaking June Temperatures
After highs above 36C on Thursday, the Met Office forecast highs of 38C on Friday, particularly affecting the south east and London. The heatwave is expected to dissipate over the weekend, but the respite will be short-lived.
July Heatwave Forecast
The Met Office has confirmed "hotter than average" conditions between July 10 and July 24. The BBC also predicts high pressure from July 10 to July 19, with "strongest warmth across southern regions, where it could become hot again."
A BBC spokesperson said: "On Friday we will see if there is less uncertainty and more agreement across models in early- to mid-July. The outlook will also extend deeper into July."
Netweather TV's July Outlook
Netweather TV's July outlook adds: "The general tendency looks to be for the week to be hotter, drier and sunnier than average for much of the country, mainly due to high pressure being dominant early in the week, but with some uncertainty over how wet the second half of the week will be."
"Temperatures are again likely to be above average but less exceptionally so than during the last week of June."
The blog post continues: "There is a fair amount of uncertainty in the weather outlook for this period, but it looks probable that pressure will often be high over Scandinavia. This means that it will probably continue warmer than average for much of the time, with southerly and/or easterly winds blowing frequently, albeit not necessarily pulling in air masses from very far south, which means that it may not necessarily get exceptionally hot during the period."
Rainfall and Sunshine Predictions
Both sunshine and rainfall look likely to trend nearer normal, with no strong signal for dominant high or low pressure over Britain. The likelihood of a Scandinavian high at times means that rainfall totals have potential to end up above normal in western and southern Britain, and below normal towards the north-east.
